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Red92
311523.6
279121.7
7522.3
Blue58
217311.1
259019.7
92219.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66460204060801001209258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3115
#26
23.61.4
22.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2590
#53
19.70.5
19.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#28
22.31.4
20.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
922
#59
19.40.5
18.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2791
#39
21.71.4
20.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2173
#84
11.10.5
10.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End