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Red95
62019.7
4532.6
23429.7
Blue42
206817.6
171221.4
17621.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775920401001201409542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
32.60.5
30.230.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1712
Unranked
21.40.5
21.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
29.70.5
27.227.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
176
Unranked
21.40.5
21.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
620
Unranked
19.70.5
17.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2068
Unranked
17.60.5
18.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End