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Red107
4532.6
62019.7
23429.7
Blue52
76819.1
111115.5
12222.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74550204010012014010752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
32.60.9
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
122
Unranked
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
29.70.9
26.327.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
768
Unranked
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
620
Unranked
19.70.9
16.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1111
Unranked
15.50.1
15.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End