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Red101
62019.7
23429.7
4532.6
Blue64
17621.4
171221.4
206817.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7957204010012014010164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
32.60.6
30.731.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1712
Unranked
21.40.1
21.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
29.70.6
27.828.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
176
Unranked
21.40.1
21.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
620
Unranked
19.70.6
17.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2068
Unranked
17.60.1
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End