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Red20
204815.6
262716.4
51515.9
Blue59
309817.3
267312.0
185619.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45360204060802059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2627
#13
16.41.2
17.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1856
#24
19.21.7
15.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
#15
15.91.9
15.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3098
#28
17.31.8
11.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2048
#30
15.62.0
11.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2673
#20
12.01.8
9.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End