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Red54
40613.6
309617.8
44013.6
Blue55
194116.3
185620.8
152815.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4157020801001205455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#18
17.80.5
16.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
20.80.0
21.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
440
#29
13.60.5
13.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1941
#12
16.30.0
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
406
#35
13.60.5
13.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1528
#27
15.50.0
17.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End