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Red33
283419.9
309713.6
22617.2
Blue78
81513.6
261222.1
81823.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59593040507080903378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#13
19.91.3
21.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
818
#3
23.20.9
22.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
#25
17.21.8
21.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
2612
#15
22.10.9
20.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3097
#33
13.61.8
15.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
815
#31
13.61.4
15.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End