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Red30
130416.4
139810.1
141511.7
Blue38
141416.8
295814.9
291823.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801003038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1304
UnrankedSur
16.40.8
14.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
2918
Unranked
23.50.3
15.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1415
Unranked
11.70.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1414
Unranked
16.80.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
Unranked
10.10.8
13.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2958
Unranked
14.90.3
10.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End