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Red38
44221.5
59019.8
288717.8
Blue61
174621.9
131111.8
200720.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48482030406070803861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
Unranked
21.50.8
18.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1746
Unranked
21.91.1
18.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
590
Unranked
19.80.8
15.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2007
Unranked
20.21.1
18.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2887
Unranked
17.80.8
13.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1311
Unranked
11.81.1
11.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End