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Red52
58714.5
175821.5
239311.7
Blue30
187714.0
242015.2
5479.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404302060801005230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
Unranked
21.51.0
17.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2420
Unranked
15.21.1
10.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
587
Unranked
14.50.8
13.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1877
Unranked
14.01.1
16.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2393
Unranked
11.71.0
9.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
547
Unranked
9.71.1
15.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End