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Red70
100216.1
297413.8
179519.8
Blue72
131924.3
236213.7
309118.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384802060801007072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
Unranked
19.82.6
14.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1319
Unranked
24.31.5
21.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
16.12.6
13.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3091
Unranked
18.22.1
13.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2974
Unranked
13.82.6
11.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2362
Unranked
13.72.1
12.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End