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Red34
239311.7
28116.3
143912.2
Blue66
100216.1
59019.8
141511.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4444203040506070803466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
16.30.9
21.020.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
590
Unranked
19.81.9
18.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1439
Unranked
12.20.9
13.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1002
Unranked
16.11.9
14.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2393
Unranked
11.70.9
10.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1415
Unranked
11.71.9
10.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End