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Red22
11279.6
187714.0
131111.8
Blue68
130416.4
83221.5
126122.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801002268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1877
Unranked
14.01.8
15.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1261
Unranked
22.01.0
21.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1311
Unranked
11.81.8
14.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
832
Unranked
21.51.0
19.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1127
Unranked
9.61.8
14.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1304
Unranked
16.41.0
15.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End