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Red30
236213.7
5479.7
211918.9
Blue64
59019.8
3420.3
11279.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754204060801003064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2119
Unranked
18.91.5
20.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
34
Unranked
20.30.9
19.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2362
Unranked
13.71.5
15.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
590
Unranked
19.80.9
20.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
547
Unranked
9.71.5
12.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1127
Unranked
9.60.9
12.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End