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Red40
265515.5
131111.8
34223.7
Blue48
239311.7
242015.2
199915.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801001204048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
Unranked
23.71.2
24.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2420
Unranked
15.20.4
16.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
Unranked
15.51.2
17.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1999
Unranked
15.20.4
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
Unranked
11.81.2
12.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2393
Unranked
11.70.4
9.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End