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Red40
191824.8
47019.8
49423.4
Blue43
205414.1
276719.3
83018.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7151204060801001204043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.5
25.024.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2767
#16
19.30.2
19.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#13
23.40.5
23.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
830
#7
18.40.2
18.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
470
#21
19.80.5
20.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2054
#19
14.10.2
14.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End