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Red46
311419.1
85812.0
150420.9
Blue68
309819.8
49423.4
89413.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485602040801001201404668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#20
20.90.2
21.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
494
#13
23.40.7
24.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3114
#33
19.10.3
19.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3098
#15
19.80.7
17.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
#30
12.00.2
8.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
894
#17
13.70.7
12.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End