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Red50
261715.7
309819.8
201511.7
Blue40
207516.7
5189.6
102311.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801005040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#15
19.80.1
19.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2075
#26
16.70.3
15.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2617
#22
15.70.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1023
#36
11.60.3
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2015
#37
11.70.1
13.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
518
#35
9.60.3
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End