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Red40
189614.6
29595.7
264519.8
Blue46
4912.6
28814.5
31415.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450204060801001204046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
17.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
314
#16
15.50.2
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1896
#35
14.60.4
13.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
288
#31
14.50.2
16.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2959
#38
5.70.4
3.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
49
#28
12.60.2
13.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End