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Red44
261219.7
178311.3
21615.0
Blue50
159617.3
224617.8
171112.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150354045556065704450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#14
19.70.5
23.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2246
#10
17.80.0
17.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#29
15.00.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
17.30.0
19.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#11
11.30.5
12.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1711
#30
12.40.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End