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Red38
215115.9
243211.1
310710.9
Blue56
100018.2
201413.1
249011.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060703856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2151
Unranked
15.90.1
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1000
Unranked
18.21.4
14.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2432
Unranked
11.10.1
12.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2014
Unranked
13.11.4
13.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3107
Unranked
10.90.1
11.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2490
Unranked
11.71.4
10.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End