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Qual 142009 Midwest Regional
Red104
174119.4
21729.9
7142.0
Blue71
273919.9
204124.4
109119.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63380208010012010471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
42.03.7
25.0→28.7
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red by 17.6
2041
Unranked
24.42.5
16.1→18.6
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Second
217
Unranked
29.93.7
21.2→24.9
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red by 10.1
2739
Unranked
19.92.5
12.9→15.3
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Teleop—
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Third
1741
Unranked
19.43.7
13.5→17.2
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Teleop—
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red by 0.2
1091
Unranked
19.22.5
12.3→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—