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Red70
28039.0
185017.2
162538.8
Blue65
246212.1
253315.1
1624.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514202060801007065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
38.81.7
22.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
16
Unranked
24.21.8
18.920.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1850
Unranked
17.21.7
15.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2533
Unranked
15.11.8
12.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2803
Unranked
9.01.7
11.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2462
Unranked
12.11.8
12.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End