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Red42
164613.7
174123.4
208130.8
Blue8
13528.2
100019.6
82920.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726920406080100428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.6
32.131.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
135
#18
28.21.0
28.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.40.5
24.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
829
#21
20.71.0
21.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#22
13.70.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
19.61.0
20.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End