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Red52
164613.7
208130.8
174123.4
Blue86
82920.7
100019.6
13528.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7066204060801005286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.4
31.531.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
135
#18
28.20.3
27.627.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.40.3
23.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
829
#21
20.70.3
20.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#22
13.70.3
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
19.60.3
19.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End