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Red54
164613.7
208130.8
174123.4
Blue78
82920.7
100019.6
13528.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69673040506080901005478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.3
31.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
135
#18
28.20.2
27.928.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
829
#21
20.70.2
20.420.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#22
13.70.2
14.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
19.60.2
19.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End