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Red100
22231.4
13530.0
11139.1
Blue109
205635.9
153830.1
14823.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10686204060120140160100109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
39.10.0
40.240.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2056
Unranked
35.90.3
35.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
Unranked
31.40.0
31.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1538
Unranked
30.10.3
29.830.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
Unranked
30.00.0
31.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
148
Unranked
23.50.3
23.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End