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Red70
6740.4
7021.8
11831.5
Blue96
4530.6
11139.1
83020.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103850501507096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
40.41.5
43.642.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
111
Unranked
39.10.4
36.336.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
Unranked
31.51.5
32.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
45
Unranked
30.60.4
31.832.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
70
Unranked
21.81.5
24.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
830
Unranked
20.70.4
19.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End