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Red38
153830.1
11616.6
34122.3
Blue113
205635.9
39937.1
21740.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56132010015038113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
Unranked
30.11.4
28.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
217
Unranked
40.10.4
43.142.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
22.31.4
22.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
399
Unranked
37.10.4
39.038.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
116
Unranked
16.61.4
15.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
2056
Unranked
35.90.4
39.539.1
Auto
Teleop
End