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Red40
308914.0
221113.4
307715.7
Blue42
303413.4
223016.8
157713.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060801001204042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3077
#29
15.70.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2230
#20
16.80.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3089
#24
14.00.0
13.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1577
#16
13.50.3
14.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2211
#36
13.40.0
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3034
#27
13.40.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End