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Qual 122009 Israel Regional
Red52
193712.7
194618.5
195210.0
Blue21
221212.7
221417.2
194410.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801001205221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
#5
18.50.5
16.5→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
2214
#21
17.21.4
15.5→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1937
#26
12.70.5
13.7→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
2212
#18
12.71.4
13.5→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1952
#37
10.00.5
15.2→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
1944
#45
10.41.4
9.3→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—