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Red40
263021.8
223116.5
194410.4
Blue34
157319.9
266912.9
309211.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444002060801001201404034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.3
18.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
19.90.5
13.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.50.3
17.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2669
#12
12.90.5
13.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#45
10.40.3
7.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3092
#35
11.80.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End