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Red14
30868.2
305218.8
194214.7
Blue50
265015.7
308914.0
306412.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41411525303545501450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.82.2
18.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2650
#25Sur
15.70.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#23
14.72.2
11.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3089
#24
14.00.7
13.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3086
#33Sur
8.22.2
10.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3064
#19
12.70.7
15.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End