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Qual 342009 Israel Regional
Red28
22169.2
157713.5
266912.9
Blue16
157913.3
308314.6
309211.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060802816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#16
13.51.4
14.6→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
3083
#17
14.62.0
13.0→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2669
#12
12.91.4
15.5→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
1579
#38
13.32.0
14.9→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2216
#28
9.21.4
15.2→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.6
3092
#35
11.82.0
11.6→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—