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Red56
307315.3
307715.7
221417.2
Blue42
194214.7
157615.1
221714.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801005642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2214
#21
17.21.2
14.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1576
#30
15.10.1
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3077
#29
15.71.2
15.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1942
#23
14.70.1
11.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3073
#22
15.31.2
11.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2217
#31
14.40.1
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End