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Red56
193712.7
306317.3
157713.5
Blue40
195721.2
15809.8
263021.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415820801005640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3063
#15
17.31.0
18.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
21.81.3
18.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
#16
13.51.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
1957
#10
21.21.3
23.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1937
#26
12.71.0
12.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1580
#46
9.81.3
13.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End