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Red16
308811.9
194410.4
221113.4
Blue70
157810.3
306517.8
303413.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2211
#36
13.41.9
13.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3065
#13
17.82.9
16.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3088
#40
11.91.9
14.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3034
#27
13.42.9
11.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#45
10.41.9
11.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1578
#39
10.32.9
7.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End