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Red64
307315.3
221714.4
308314.6
Blue36
30845.6
221515.6
195512.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060801006436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3073
#22
15.31.6
14.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2215
#14
15.60.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3083
#17
14.61.6
13.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1955
#34
12.70.1
12.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2217
#31
14.41.6
17.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
3084
#47
5.60.1
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End