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Red50
223016.8
169024.2
309211.8
Blue38
157713.5
157319.9
221417.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455210203040607080905038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
23.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
19.91.1
20.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2230
#20
16.80.3
11.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2214
#21
17.21.1
16.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3092
#35
11.80.3
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1577
#16
13.51.1
14.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End