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Red68
221212.7
263021.8
165723.2
Blue32
307518.9
306412.7
307315.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5553203040607080901006832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.0
21.922.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
18.91.6
20.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.81.0
19.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
3073
#22
15.31.6
16.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2212
#18
12.71.0
13.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3064
#19
12.71.6
16.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End