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Red63
266912.9
194214.7
223016.8
Blue51
195721.2
194313.0
195512.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060806351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#20
16.81.7
13.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1957
#10
21.20.2
21.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#23
14.71.7
13.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1943
#42
13.00.2
13.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2669
#12
12.91.7
12.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1955
#34
12.70.2
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End