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Red81
263021.8
306517.8
169024.2
Blue38
307715.7
195512.7
15809.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801008138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.23.3
14.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
3077
#29
15.73.1
15.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.83.3
14.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1955
#34
12.70.1
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3065
#13
17.82.0
17.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1580
#46
9.80.1
12.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End