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Red34
30868.2
308811.9
306412.7
Blue28
306317.3
30879.3
309211.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040102030506070803428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3064
#19
12.70.5
16.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3063
#15
17.31.0
14.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3088
#40
11.90.5
13.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3092
#35
11.81.0
13.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3086
#33
8.20.5
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3087
#44
9.31.0
11.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End