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Red40
109815.9
182713.4
182517.6
Blue77
176912.6
109416.4
199411.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45340204060804077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#18
17.60.3
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1094
#29
16.43.5
12.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1098
#50
15.90.3
15.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1769
#41
12.63.5
12.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1827
#60
13.40.3
14.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1994
#49
11.13.5
10.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End