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Red22
279915.3
220113.7
216712.9
Blue80
233513.8
180016.0
198118.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364602060801001202280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2799
#32
15.31.3
14.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1981
#26
18.12.9
15.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2201
#54
13.71.3
10.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1800
#25
16.02.9
15.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#47
12.91.3
12.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2335
#31
13.82.9
13.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End