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Red0
184711.4
23578.5
23468.6
Blue80
289414.6
173021.1
198517.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36470206080100120080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#53
11.43.1
15.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
1730
#24
21.12.8
20.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2346
#61
8.63.1
12.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
1985
#11
17.72.8
16.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2357
#57
8.53.1
9.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2894
#30
14.62.8
9.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End