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Red50
233513.8
93713.8
287416.4
Blue40
235311.0
20086.5
182713.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801001205040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2874
#23
16.40.1
16.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1827
#60
13.40.6
13.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2335
#31
13.80.1
16.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2353
#39
11.00.6
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
937
#51
13.80.1
15.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
2008
#59
6.50.6
7.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End