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Red54
19849.9
120821.2
93521.1
Blue42
53713.6
234517.4
182713.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46400102030506070805442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#19
21.20.8
13.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2345
#38
17.40.1
16.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#5
21.10.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
537
#46
13.60.1
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#44
9.90.8
10.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1827
#60
13.40.1
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End