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Red66
199616.4
182517.6
52520.6
Blue48
184711.4
93713.8
256013.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060806648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#20
20.61.6
16.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
937
#51
13.80.5
15.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1825
#18
17.61.6
14.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2560
#58
13.70.5
13.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
16.41.6
15.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1847
#53
11.40.5
12.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End