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Red141
120821.2
83526.7
193928.4
Blue28
235311.0
177613.4
279915.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58420208010012014014128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.47.1
21.228.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
2799
#32
15.31.3
16.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
835
#13
26.77.1
20.427.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1776
#42
13.41.3
14.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1208
#19
21.27.1
13.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
2353
#39
11.01.3
12.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End